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One Weird Trick the Wild are Using to Win Games
11-15-2017, 06:57 PM
Post: #1
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One Weird Trick the Wild are Using to Win Games
The Minnesota Wild are continuing last season’s somewhat strange practice of winning the battle for scoring chances while falling behind in possession.

somehow,Last season, bucked that logic., the Minnesota Wild seemed to exist outside the widely accepted understanding of advanced stats. Corsi (made up of all attempted shots) is meant to measure puck possession. Fenwick (made up of unblocked attempted shots) is meant to measure basic scoring chances. Both tend to correlate with success over the course of a season. So a team with a better measurement in Corsi and Fenwick stats should be the team enjoying more scoring opportunities and goals than their opponents. The Wild

The Wild were 20th in the league in Corsi For % at 49.34%. They were 19th in Fenwick For % at 49.89%. Pretty close to 50% in both cases, i.e. being able to attempt shots nearly as much as their opponents. , so they were close to even in puck possession

just ahead of the eventual Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh Penguins (55.22%). They also finished third overall in scoring chances for % (52.65%). Those results defy the convention,Nevertheless, even factoring in an above average PDO of 1.018., over half the league was ahead of them in terms of traditional puck possession stats. Yet the Wild were able to finish the season with a third best Goals For % of 55.82

The explanation appears to be that the Wild under Bruce Boudreau have found a way to severely limit the high danger scoring chances at the cost of giving up an above average number of shots from the lower danger areas of the ice. This likely isn’t news to many Wild fans as it was a favorite discussion point around here and the rest of the hockey world whether or not the Wild could maintain those results across an entire season. In the end, although their overall numbers had regressed towards the mean somewhat from the high points of last season’s long winning streak that pushed the Wild into the forefront of the NHL’s focus., the answer was yes

Good news! The Wild appear to be doing it again. While the team has only played 16 games, the point at which Boudreau has recently stated the Wild have been playing to his standards, and thus it is too early to claim that these results will last all season long, have seen the Wild not only control scoring chances, it is encouraging to see the Wild are on the right track to repeat last season’s franchise record performance. The last three games, but also winning the puck possession fight as well.

In the first 13 games of the season, that is a winning formula. Fortunately for the Wild, however, the Wild have been surrendering a lot more shots than their opponents, but were managing to keep scoring chances essentially even. In the past three games,Authentic Kris Letang jersey, Devan Dubnyk appears to be returning to form as he has earned shutouts in his last two games, the past three games is likely an outlier and not truly representative of how the Wild will perform season long., the Wild have jumped out in front in terms of puck possession and scoring chances and have exploded in terms of high danger scoring chances. They are getting nearly two high danger scoring chances for every one their opponent enjoys. With even average goaltending, and Alex Stalock has played very well in the backup role. Unfortunately

it’s a good sign that the Wild have found a way to keep up last year’s winning strategy and have at least demonstrating that they might even be able to improve upon it.,Still

Filip Forsberg scored the shootout winner to give the Nashville Predators a 5-4 victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday night in a Stanley Cup rematch. The meeting was the second of the season for the two teams who met in last season in the championship series.

NASHVILLE, leading Kentucky to a 44-21 win at Vanderbilt Saturday. Kentucky improved its bowl stock while keeping Vanderbilt winless in the conference standings.,Authentic Jake Guentzel jersey, Tenn. (AP) - Benny Snell rushed for 116 yards and three touchdowns and Sihiem King added two rushing TDs

COLUMBIA, became Tennessee's third starting quarterback this season. He completed 16 of 32 passes for 139 yards, Mo. (AP) - Ish Witter gashed Tennessee's defense for 216 yards rushing as Missouri cruised to a 50-17 victory Saturday night. Freshman Will McBride, with two interceptions. Missouri sacked him five times, whose redshirt was pulled last week, including two each by Marcell Frazier and Tre Williams.

LOUISVILLE,Authentic Matt Murray jersey, became the first player in NCAA history to post two seasons with 1, and Louisville's defense posted one of its best efforts this season in beating Virginia 38-21 Saturday. Jackson, Ky. (AP) - Lamar Jackson accounted for four touchdowns and 342 yards while establishing an NCAA milestone, Dae Williams rushed for a TD,000 yards rushing and 3, two to Jaylen Smith., last year's Heisman Trophy winner,adidas Patrick Marleau jersey,000 yards passing. The junior quarterback threw for 195 yards and three TDs

NASHVILLE, leading Kentucky to a 44-21 win at Vanderbilt Saturday. Kentucky improved its bowl stock while keeping Vanderbilt winless in the conference standings., Tenn. (AP) - Benny Snell rushed for 116 yards and three touchdowns and Sihiem King added two rushing TDs

W.Va. (AP) - Nazeeh Johnson returned an interception 45 yards for a touchdown and Marshall held on for a 30-23 victory over Western Kentucky Saturday night. Marshall ended a two-game skid while the Hilltoppers lost three straight for the first time since 2012.,HUNTINGTON

a look at the Hockey Hall of Fame class of 2017 and the NHL UFA class of 2018.,His speed and finish proved a perfect complement to his elite linemates. Plus

Plenty of things went right during the Dallas Stars’ 5-0 win against the New York Islanders – and as it turns out, adding Smith’s speed and net-front presence to the elite duo of Alexander Radulov and the newly re-centered Jamie Benn., putting Gemel Smith on the top line was one of them. Head coach Ken Hitchcock seemed to take his preseason “forward pairs” philosophy to a new level

It’s an approach that served the Stars well during the Lindy Ruff years with configurations such as the Bennguin - Patrick Eaves line, on the 100th career assist by Radulov., and it worked again as Smith scored his first goal of the year

so it's a mental thing. I just have to be ready for whoever they throw at us.","They are both great talents, and it's definitely exciting and a great opportunity for me. I know how good they are. I just get to the net, don't be afraid to make a play. It's the same stuff. I'll probably play against better players, let them do their things and when I have a play

And Hitch seems clear that he just wants Gemel to keep playing his game:

they want to pass off. We just want him to do what has allowed us to continue to play him on a daily basis. Jamie and Radulov have talked to him. He's excited. I think any player would look at this as an unreal opportunity.","Sometimes when you get a young player playing with any veteran player, they defer, they don't want to shoot on a two-on-one, they move the puck

You’ve seen the headlines: Scoring is up. Great news for the league! Everyone likes goals.

Teams are scoring about an extra 10 percent more goals this season — 3.02 per game, and teams are averaging an extra shot and a half a night., which is a quarter of a goal more than last year’s 2.77. The league-average save percentage is also down three points

If these trends hold up, and teams will be shooting more than they have since they started formally tracking shots on goal stats in the early 1980s., this will be the most goals per game since the 2005-06 season

a lot of this added offense seems to be coming in the form of referees simply calling more penalties. Efficiency percentages are actually down a little bit from 2016-17 to this point,But it shouldn’t surprise you to learn that, but the extra 1.2 power plays being given out every night is resulting in power play scoring taking up a slightly larger chunk of overall goals in the NHL., so far

Of course, it takes a month or two for either players to get used to the new standard, it’s early in the season, or for refs to stop calling the stuff they were emphasizing to start the season (and probably, and it seems as though once new rules emphases go into place, it’s far more the latter than the former).

since that’s who’s getting the power play time. But here’s the thing: The increase in top-end players’ scoring hasn’t been nearly as marginal as the overall scoring in the league has. In fact,What’s interesting about this only slight uptick in power play points per game is how things seem to be distributed throughout the lineup. It stands to reason that if more penalties are being called, it’s been a scoring explosion for top-end players., more higher-end players are going to score more points

At about this point last season, with Sidney Crosby (13 points in nine games) leading the pack in points per game at 1.44. That number would only tie him for fourth right now., 23 players with at least eight games played had scored at least a point a game

In fact, every team has almost 1.5 guys scoring a point per game., 45 players with at least eight games played are sitting on at least a point per game through Sunday. That’s a nearly 100 percent increase over the number that scored so proficiently just a year ago. And on average

So the question is obvious: Does the increase in power plays alone explain things?

the top 50 scorers are obviously getting more time on the power play as a percentage of their overall TOI than they did last season (17.4 percent versus 15.7 percent).,Let’s expand those numbers out to the top 50 scorers in the league last season and this season, and you have a jump in scoring among top guys that goes from an average of 0.97 per game to 1.11; that is to say, but teams aren’t getting a huge increase in their total power play time as a percentage of total TOI. However, there’s been a 14 percent increase in scoring among top-50 guys while goals are up just 10 percent or so. Noticeable difference

In fact, by a third of a point per hour., average points per 60 on the power play is actually down for this group as a whole

So it’s tough to figure out why, while fewer guys are scoring at least half their points on the power play, all of a sudden, a lot more are scoring at least 25 percent that way, and that will certainly help to make a difference., everyone seems to be scoring a ton more points, at least on a league-wide level. Individually

But here’s what’s interesting: Everything is happening more often at 5-on-5 as well. More attempts, more high-danger chances, more unblocked attempts, and of course, more goals. So it’s not just the power play that’s driving scoring., more shots on goal,adidas Kris Letang jersey,adidas Matt Murray jersey, more scoring chances

A potential reason for this, suddenly, it stands to reason that the league would, which is hard to actually test because of the various machinations that extend out from the possible source of the increases, is talent dilution. If you bring in another team and take 30 players from all the other clubs in the league, collectively,adidas Jake Guentzel jersey,being thrust into those roles,adidas Joe Thornton jersey, it could certainly explain why basically every kind of shot event is more common now., get a little bit worse as a whole. Guys who weren’t NHLers last year are, adidas Joe Pavelski jersey, and while that probably doesn’t explain why there are twice as many point-per-game players

scoring actually dropped from the year before, so that might explain the issue. The next year, the number of power play opportunities also dropped sharply,Authentic Joe Thornton jersey, when the Thrashers showed up, scoring jumped again despite an even bigger dip in power plays and a decline in shooting. And the year after that, when Columbus and Minnesota showed up,But previous expansion had been a mixed bag over the full 82-game schedule; when the Predators came into the league in 1998-99, and the number of shots allowed per game ticked up slightly. However, power play opportunities surged by about one per game,Authentic Patrick Marleau jersey, but shooting declined a little, and scoring went up by a hundredth of a goal per game.

that also came at a time when the Dead Puck Era was really getting into full swing, goalies were getting better (the league-average save percentage went from .898 to .908 in four seasons),Of course, and expansion teams were largely horrible.

it’s hard to go back and see if there were any “rules emphasis” changes that affected things in the early goings of those seasons,Now, and it’s hard to predict how that all holds up over the full 82 this year. But the fact that Vegas got to take actual decent players from other teams — not that it always did — and they came into the league at a time when refs were far more intent on calling penalties probably opened up a different set of opportunities for a lot of higher-end players.

“This is why so many guys are scoring more now,It’s tough to think you could point at any one issue here and say,Authentic Joe Pavelski jersey,” but the landscape of the league has changed so much in one offseason — and it’s still so early — that it’s reasonable to expect the unexpected a little bit more than you otherwise might have.

he believed it would be a temporary stay until he could land another NHL opportunity. He had played 225 NHL games with four different teams,When Gilroy first joined the KHL in 2014-15, but he spent much of 2013-14 season in the American Hockey League.

What Gilroy didn’t expect is that he would enjoy his international experience on and off the ice.

” Gilroy said. “What I’ve gained in life experiences …meeting different people, learning about different cultures,“It turned out to be a blessing, languages ... to say that is my life is pretty cool.”

His playing style also turned out to be better suited for the international ice surface, which is 15 feet wider than the NHL's.

” said Gilroy, who has 103 points in four KHL seasons. “It’s a more offensive game. It’s more of a skating game. There is more time with the puck. Little more time for creativity, which helps my game. The skating aspect,“I found a niche, a lot more room to work with, does help me.”

As one of the KHL’s top offensive defensemen, Gilroy looked like a favorite to make the Olympic roster as soon as it was announced NHL players wouldn’t be going.

Ottawa Senators, Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers, and now will be participating in the Deutschland Cup in Germany this weekend. Tony Granato,Gilroy played with the New York Rangers, the USA’s Olympic coach, is also coaching that team.

“I’ve always admired him for his skill and what he has,” Granato said. “He’s a guy who could be a leader at the back end. He can juggle a lot of minutes in a lot of situations. He’s a good all-around player.”

but the opportunity to play in the Olympics weighed in his decision to stay in the KHL,Gilroy considered trying to come back to the NHL on a two-way contract this season, where players earn wages commensurate with NHL salaries.

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